Big California Quake Likely Within 25 Years

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SACRAMENTO –

Scientists say Monday’s magnitude 4.4 earthquake in Southern California, and last week’s quakes near the North Coast were simply business as usual in seismically-active California.

VIDEO: Anchors Dive Under Desk Live on TV as Earthquake Hits

“The pattern that we’re seeing now is no different than what we had two or three weeks ago,” said Dr. Gerald Bawden, a geophysicist with the US Geological Survey in Sacramento.  “It just happened to be some were a little bit larger…or happened to be a little bit shallower.”

A larger concern than the recent quake activity, is the lack of activity on major fault lines that have been quiet for many years.

READ: 3 Earthquakes Rattle California Coast

According to Dr. Bawden, a magnitude 6.5 or larger quake is likely on the Hayward fault in the Bay Area within the next 25 years.

“One standard deviation says 65 percent chance,” Dr. Bawden said.

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